Lady and The Track | May 28, 2022

Scroll to top


Home » Kentucky Derby » Do Final Fractions Matter in the Kentucky Derby?

Do Final Fractions Matter in the Kentucky Derby?

By Derek Simon

The 2012 Breeders' Cup winners will parade around Churchill Downs on Sunday November 11, 2012.

Churchill Downs. Photo: Lady and the track.

Most of the time when I hear or read about clever angles relating to the Kentucky Derby, I pay about as much attention to them as I do to political ads around election season. In other words, I dismiss them.

So, it should come as no surprise that, despite the fact I’m a big believer in pace handicapping and firmly believe that a fast finish is highly relevant to a horse’s overall success, I’ve never really focused on final fractions in Kentucky Derby prep races. Mind you, I produce my own pace figures, so, in a sense, I get the same insights.

For example, I’m well aware of the fact that horses recording a “poor” late speed ration (-15 or less) last time are just… (more)



For all of the lastest Future Book odds on the Kentucky Derby probables, go to:

Derby Future Bet