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Do Final Fractions Matter in the Kentucky Derby?

By Derek Simon

The 2012 Breeders' Cup winners will parade around Churchill Downs on Sunday November 11, 2012.

Churchill Downs. Photo: Lady and the track.

Most of the time when I hear or read about clever angles relating to the Kentucky Derby, I pay about as much attention to them as I do to political ads around election season. In other words, I dismiss them.

So, it should come as no surprise that, despite the fact I’m a big believer in pace handicapping and firmly believe that a fast finish is highly relevant to a horse’s overall success, I’ve never really focused on final fractions in Kentucky Derby prep races. Mind you, I produce my own pace figures, so, in a sense, I get the same insights.

For example, I’m well aware of the fact that horses recording a “poor” late speed ration (-15 or less) last time are just… (more)

 

 

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