Five Reasons Why Justify Won’t Win The Kentucky Derby

By Derek Simon

Right now, among many horse racing fans, three things in life are certain: death, taxes and the fact that, come the first Saturday in May, Justify will win the Kentucky Derby.

Currently, the chestnut cold is the 7-2 favorite to win the most famous race in America and his conditioner, Bob Baffert, is second only to Todd Pletcher (who, as usual, has a bevy of live contenders) in the Kentucky Derby trainer odds.

But there are several good reasons why Justify may not be draped in a blanket of roses on May 5:

Reason #5

A few years ago, Gary West of ESPN pointed out that “no Kentucky Derby winner since at least World War II has entered the race without having some experience in a large field of 10 or more starters.” Of course, American Pharoah immediately made… (more)