Lady and The Track | December 16, 2018

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Home » Kentucky Derby » Five Reasons Why Justify Won’t Win The Kentucky Derby

Five Reasons Why Justify Won’t Win The Kentucky Derby

By Derek Simon

Justify and Mike Smith the first time past the winer in their winning performance in the 2018 Santa Anita Derby, 4/7/18. Photo: Jim Safford

Right now, among many horse racing fans, three things in life are certain: death, taxes and the fact that, come the first Saturday in May, Justify will win the Kentucky Derby.

Currently, the chestnut cold is the 7-2 favorite to win the most famous race in America and his conditioner, Bob Baffert, is second only to Todd Pletcher (who, as usual, has a bevy of live contenders) in the Kentucky Derby trainer odds.

But there are several good reasons why Justify may not be draped in a blanket of roses on May 5:

Reason #5

A few years ago, Gary West of ESPN pointed out that “no Kentucky Derby winner since at least World War II has entered the race without having some experience in a large field of 10 or more starters.” Of course, American Pharoah immediately made… (more)

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